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Red18
636914.5
45977.4
61556.4
Blue46
41821.5
95068.0
356115.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34371020304050601846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
#12
14.52.0
12.810.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End1.8
blue by 7.0
418
#3
21.50.3
15.816.1
Auto11.4
Teleop8.9
End1.3
Second
4597
#23
7.42.0
10.78.7
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End0.7
blue by 8.4
3561
#17
15.80.3
9.69.9
Auto8.0
Teleop6.2
End1.7
Third
6155
#33
6.42.0
7.85.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End1.1
blue by 1.6
9506
#14
8.00.3
7.88.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed