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Red74
50528.0
384732.1
95245.6
Blue14
94488.3
912112.8
96644.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions421501020305060707414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.11.1
21.122.2
Auto16.6
Teleop14.1
End1.3
red by 19.3
12.80.3
8.07.7
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Second
5052
#29
8.01.1
7.18.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 0.3
9448
#16
8.30.3
3.12.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
9524
#34
5.61.1
6.37.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End0.6
red by 0.9
9664
#39
4.80.6
6.05.4
Auto1.4
Teleop3.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed