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Red51
801915.2
51037.9
914011.3
Blue20
91374.2
90549.2
43642.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36160102030405060705120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.21.7
13.014.7
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End1.0
red by 5.9
9054
#35
9.21.2
8.16.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End2.6
Second
9140
#36
11.31.7
12.314.0
Auto2.2
Teleop8.7
End0.3
red by 7.1
9137
#24
4.21.2
2.41.1
Auto1.1
Teleop2.8
End0.3
Third
5103
#28
7.91.7
5.27.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End0.5
red by 5.2
4364
#41
2.81.2
6.85.5
Auto0.6
Teleop1.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned