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Red18
46107.9
81146.3
27897.7
Blue33
71383.4
859810.8
874911.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2233010304050601833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4610
#30
7.90.4
7.16.8
Auto2.1
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 3.2
8749
#10
11.10.0
12.612.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End2.0
Second
2789
#21
7.70.2
5.04.8
Auto4.3
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 3.1
8598
#13
10.80.0
10.010.1
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.1
Third
8114
#27
6.30.4
9.18.7
Auto4.3
Teleop0.9
End1.0
red by 2.8
7138
#37
3.40.0
6.06.1
Auto1.7
Teleop0.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed