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Red43
550310.9
47177.1
367919.0
Blue24
37435.8
887912.3
58945.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35240103040506070804324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.7
16.216.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End0.2
red by 6.7
8879
#25
12.30.2
9.69.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Second
5503
#18
10.90.4
8.28.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End1.8
red by 5.1
3743
#31
5.80.1
5.75.8
Auto4.2
Teleop1.1
End0.4
Third
4717
#15
7.10.7
5.86.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End0.7
red by 1.8
5894
#40
5.30.2
7.37.5
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed