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Red32
57267.6
380211.5
41821.5
Blue65
384732.1
95068.0
94488.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323710204050603265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#3
21.50.3
16.115.9
Auto11.4
Teleop8.9
End1.3
blue by 10.5
32.12.4
22.224.6
Auto16.6
Teleop14.1
End1.3
Second
3802
#32
11.50.2
7.06.9
Auto2.9
Teleop6.5
End2.1
red by 3.2
9448
#16
8.31.5
2.84.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
5726
#19
7.60.3
6.15.9
Auto5.0
Teleop1.8
End0.8
blue by 0.4
9506
#14
8.02.4
8.110.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed