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Red4
27897.7
45977.4
96644.8
Blue19
367919.0
81146.3
43642.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213601030405060419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2789
#21
7.71.1
4.83.7
Auto4.3
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 11.3
19.01.9
16.814.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End0.2
Second
4597
#23
7.41.8
7.75.8
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End0.7
red by 1.2
8114
#27
6.31.9
8.76.8
Auto4.3
Teleop0.9
End1.0
Third
9664
#39
4.81.8
8.16.3
Auto1.4
Teleop3.3
End0.1
red by 2.0
4364
#41
2.81.9
5.53.6
Auto0.6
Teleop1.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed