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Red28
380211.5
50528.0
95068.0
Blue28
43327.9
874911.1
85079.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272920253035402828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
#32
11.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.5
End2.1
red by 0.4
8749
#10
11.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End2.0
Second
5052
#29
8.0
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 1.7
9.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End0.6
Third
9506
#14
8.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End0.5
red by 0.1
4332
#22
7.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed