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Red44
384732.1
47177.1
91374.2
Blue16
81146.3
63577.0
43327.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions421502060804416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.5
25.525.9
Auto16.6
Teleop14.1
End1.3
red by 24.2
4332
#22
7.90.6
3.73.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Second
4717
#15
7.10.5
6.26.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End0.7
red by 0.1
6357
#38
7.00.6
8.17.5
Auto1.5
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Third
9137
#24
4.20.5
2.93.4
Auto1.1
Teleop2.8
End0.3
blue by 2.1
8114
#27
6.30.6
5.04.4
Auto4.3
Teleop0.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed