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Red35
95245.6
43327.9
367919.0
Blue21
51037.9
61556.4
43642.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3017010405060703521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.4
17.117.5
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End0.2
red by 11.1
5103
#28
7.90.1
8.28.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Second
4332
#22
7.90.4
3.13.5
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0
red by 1.5
6155
#33
6.40.1
6.56.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End1.1
Third
9524
#34
5.60.4
5.56.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End0.6
red by 2.9
4364
#41
2.80.1
2.52.4
Auto0.6
Teleop1.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed