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Red52
589220.8
47177.1
941815.3
Blue32
550310.9
912112.8
50528.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443002060805232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.2
17.517.7
Auto9.6
Teleop9.7
End1.5
red by 8.0
12.80.2
10.010.1
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Second
15.30.2
13.814.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 4.4
5503
#18
10.90.2
9.89.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End1.8
Third
4717
#15
7.10.2
6.66.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End0.7
blue by 0.9
5052
#29
8.00.3
9.49.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed