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Red10
86105.2
914011.3
37435.8
Blue28
57267.6
45977.4
94488.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2223510152025303540451028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9140
#36
11.31.2
10.59.3
Auto2.2
Teleop8.7
End0.3
red by 3.0
9448
#16
8.30.1
5.65.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Second
3743
#31
5.80.9
5.84.9
Auto4.2
Teleop1.1
End0.4
blue by 1.9
5726
#19
7.60.2
6.96.8
Auto5.0
Teleop1.8
End0.8
Third
8610
#42
5.21.2
4.63.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 2.2
4597
#23
7.40.2
7.16.9
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed