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Red39
882712.6
58945.3
356115.8
Blue25
380211.5
27897.7
86257.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352104060803925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3561
#17
15.80.7
13.614.2
Auto8.0
Teleop6.2
End1.7
red by 4.3
3802
#32
11.50.1
9.19.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.5
End2.1
Second
8827
#26
12.60.7
10.010.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.9
red by 4.8
2789
#21
7.70.1
5.55.5
Auto4.3
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Third
5894
#40
5.30.7
6.67.3
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End1.7
blue by 1.7
8625
#20
7.00.1
6.46.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed