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Red9
380211.5
801915.2
58945.3
Blue55
589220.8
61556.4
384732.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35460206080100955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.22.7
13.911.2
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End1.0
blue by 16.9
32.11.6
18.420.0
Auto16.6
Teleop14.1
End1.3
Second
3802
#32
11.51.6
9.98.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.5
End2.1
blue by 9.2
20.81.6
14.315.9
Auto9.6
Teleop9.7
End1.5
Third
5894
#40
5.32.7
9.36.6
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End1.7
blue by 1.1
6155
#33
6.41.6
7.89.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed