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Red53
941815.3
41821.5
859810.8
Blue8
86257.0
81146.3
86105.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322801020405060538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#3
21.52.7
13.115.8
Auto11.4
Teleop8.9
End1.3
red by 14.6
8625
#20
7.02.0
8.26.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End0.1
Second
15.32.7
8.611.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 9.0
8114
#27
6.32.0
11.29.2
Auto4.3
Teleop0.9
End1.0
Third
8598
#13
10.82.7
6.69.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.1
red by 5.6
8610
#42
5.22.0
6.54.5
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed