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Red36
86257.0
356115.8
43327.9
Blue67
367919.0
57267.6
941815.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26460204060803667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3561
#17
15.80.8
14.815.6
Auto8.0
Teleop6.2
End1.7
blue by 3.2
19.00.6
19.219.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End0.2
Second
4332
#22
7.90.9
5.16.0
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 7.4
15.30.6
14.314.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.9
Third
8625
#20
7.00.8
5.96.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End0.1
blue by 0.6
5726
#19
7.60.6
5.66.3
Auto5.0
Teleop1.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed