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Red53
914011.3
882712.6
96644.8
Blue23
47177.1
45977.4
86105.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2819010405060705323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8827
#26
12.60.7
12.313.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.9
red by 5.2
4597
#23
7.40.2
7.67.8
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End0.7
Second
9140
#36
11.30.7
7.78.5
Auto2.2
Teleop8.7
End0.3
red by 4.2
4717
#15
7.10.2
5.75.9
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Third
9664
#39
4.80.7
4.04.7
Auto1.4
Teleop3.3
End0.1
blue by 0.4
8610
#42
5.20.2
4.95.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed