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Red55
550310.9
636914.5
912112.8
Blue44
258311.3
914011.3
57267.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453102060801001205544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
#12
14.50.0
14.814.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End1.8
red by 3.2
2583
#11
11.30.3
11.111.3
Auto7.1
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Second
12.80.0
13.113.1
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End0.8
red by 1.5
9140
#36
11.30.3
11.011.3
Auto2.2
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Third
5503
#18
10.90.0
11.211.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End1.8
red by 3.3
5726
#19
7.60.3
7.37.6
Auto5.0
Teleop1.8
End0.8