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Red38
941815.3
589220.8
81146.3
Blue47
912112.8
636914.5
550310.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484201001503847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.1
20.920.8
Auto9.6
Teleop9.7
End1.5
red by 6.2
6369
#12
14.50.1
14.814.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Second
15.30.1
15.415.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 2.5
12.80.1
13.113.1
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Third
8114
#27
6.30.1
6.46.3
Auto4.3
Teleop0.9
End1.0
blue by 4.7
5503
#18
10.90.1
11.211.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End1.8