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Red60
941815.3
589220.8
81146.3
Blue48
85079.7
874911.1
887912.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48330204060801006048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.2
20.420.6
Auto9.6
Teleop9.7
End1.5
red by 8.5
8879
#25
12.30.4
11.812.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Second
15.30.2
15.015.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 4.2
8749
#10
11.10.4
10.611.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End2.0
Third
8114
#27
6.30.2
5.96.1
Auto4.3
Teleop0.9
End1.0
blue by 3.4
9.70.4
9.29.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End0.6