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Red43
882712.6
367919.0
356115.8
Blue55
258311.3
914011.3
57267.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582702040801004355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.3
19.419.0
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End0.2
red by 7.7
2583
#11
11.30.4
10.711.1
Auto7.1
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Second
3561
#17
15.80.3
16.115.8
Auto8.0
Teleop6.2
End1.7
red by 4.5
9140
#36
11.30.4
10.611.0
Auto2.2
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Third
8827
#26
12.60.3
12.912.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.9
red by 5.0
5726
#19
7.60.4
7.07.3
Auto5.0
Teleop1.8
End0.8