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Red34
303514.9
94195.0
769114.4
Blue30
887914.3
59862.8
881910.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352801020405060703430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3035
#15
14.90.2
12.312.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.1
red by 0.7
8879
#26
14.30.3
11.611.8
Auto6.7
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Second
7691
#13
14.40.2
11.711.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End2.4
red by 3.4
8819
#14
10.90.3
10.210.5
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
Third
9419
#28
5.00.3
7.17.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End0.6
red by 2.1
5986
#33
2.80.3
4.24.5
Auto1.4
Teleop1.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed