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Red30
258711.7
29506.5
92894.8
Blue19
25859.3
59237.3
71157.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212701040506070803019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#18
11.70.2
11.211.4
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End1.6
red by 2.4
2585
#16
9.30.8
6.96.2
Auto2.5
Teleop4.1
End2.6
Second
2950
#17
6.50.2
5.15.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 1.2
7115
#10
7.70.8
8.07.3
Auto5.6
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Third
9289
#30
4.80.2
3.23.4
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End1.0
blue by 2.5
5923
#25
7.30.8
8.57.8
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed