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Red54
837016.3
95143.6
32424.6
Blue40
912836.3
664511.1
42952.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44433035405055605440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#5
24.60.6
21.021.5
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End1.0
blue by 11.8
36.30.1
27.327.4
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
Second
8370
#12
16.30.6
14.715.3
Auto6.0
Teleop9.1
End1.2
red by 5.2
6645
#11
11.10.1
8.48.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Third
9514
#32
3.60.6
3.64.2
Auto1.3
Teleop1.6
End0.7
red by 1.1
4295
#34
2.50.1
3.23.2
Auto1.2
Teleop0.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed