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Red39
817717.6
95165.8
526111.1
Blue25
94195.0
88187.2
59862.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341701040506070803925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.60.7
14.915.6
Auto8.9
Teleop7.7
End1.1
red by 10.5
8818
#20
7.20.6
5.65.1
Auto1.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Second
11.10.7
8.99.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End1.0
red by 6.2
9419
#28
5.00.9
7.46.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Third
9516
#35
5.80.7
4.65.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End0.9
red by 2.9
5986
#33
2.80.6
4.53.9
Auto1.4
Teleop1.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned