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Red81
11838.4
912836.3
74186.7
Blue16
92894.8
881910.9
303514.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions902004060801001201408116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
38.40.4
40.240.6
Auto17.8
Teleop16.4
End4.1
red by 23.5
3035
#15
14.90.7
12.511.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.1
Second
36.30.4
27.427.8
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
red by 25.4
8819
#14
10.90.7
10.59.8
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
Third
7418
#19
6.70.4
5.96.2
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End0.9
red by 1.9
9289
#30
4.80.7
3.42.7
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsEarned3%Ensemble oddsMissed