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Red34
95165.8
837016.3
94195.0
Blue53
23127.4
88187.2
95143.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293802060803453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8370
#12
16.30.0
15.315.3
Auto6.0
Teleop9.1
End1.2
blue by 11.2
231
#1
27.40.3
23.924.2
Auto7.9
Teleop15.4
End4.1
Second
9516
#35
5.80.0
5.35.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End0.9
blue by 1.4
8818
#20
7.20.3
5.15.4
Auto1.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Third
9419
#28
5.00.0
6.56.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End0.6
red by 1.4
9514
#32
3.60.3
4.24.5
Auto1.3
Teleop1.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned