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Red54
59237.3
887914.3
731223.7
Blue51
83927.8
817717.6
29506.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45260204060805451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.8
19.420.1
Auto10.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
red by 6.1
17.61.0
15.616.6
Auto8.9
Teleop7.7
End1.1
Second
8879
#26
14.30.8
11.812.5
Auto6.7
Teleop6.1
End1.4
red by 6.5
8392
#23
7.81.0
5.46.4
Auto1.8
Teleop4.3
End1.7
Third
5923
#25
7.30.8
7.68.3
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End1.1
red by 0.7
2950
#17
6.51.0
5.26.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsEarned