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Red36
303514.9
32424.6
87507.4
Blue63
11838.4
769114.4
526111.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387302060801003663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#5
24.60.2
21.521.4
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End1.0
blue by 13.8
118
#2
38.40.3
40.640.3
Auto17.8
Teleop16.4
End4.1
Second
3035
#15
14.90.2
11.811.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.1
red by 0.5
7691
#13
14.40.3
11.911.6
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Third
8750
#31
7.40.2
5.35.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End1.2
blue by 3.7
11.10.3
9.69.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsMissed