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Red20
21588.5
258711.7
90815.7
Blue84
912836.3
542723.1
92894.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266102040801002084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#18
11.70.5
10.910.4
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End1.6
blue by 24.6
36.31.8
27.829.6
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
Second
2158
#21
8.50.5
12.411.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End0.8
blue by 14.6
23.11.8
20.822.6
Auto9.4
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Third
9081
#29
5.70.5
4.84.2
Auto1.0
Teleop4.4
End0.3
red by 0.9
9289
#30
4.81.8
2.74.6
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed