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Red29
87507.4
90815.7
23127.4
Blue23
95143.6
303514.9
59237.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402701001502002503002923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#1
27.40.4
23.222.8
Auto7.9
Teleop15.4
End4.1
red by 12.5
3035
#15
14.90.3
13.313.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.1
Second
8750
#31
7.40.4
5.85.4
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End1.2
red by 0.2
5923
#25
7.30.3
7.57.2
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End1.1
Third
9081
#29
5.70.4
5.95.5
Auto1.0
Teleop4.4
End0.3
red by 2.1
9514
#32
3.60.3
4.84.5
Auto1.3
Teleop1.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed