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Red64
664511.1
92894.8
11838.4
Blue33
95165.8
731223.7
769114.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5738020801006433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
38.40.8
39.440.3
Auto17.8
Teleop16.4
End4.1
red by 14.7
23.70.9
18.217.3
Auto10.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Second
6645
#11
11.10.9
7.58.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End1.0
blue by 3.3
7691
#13
14.40.9
11.810.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Third
9289
#30
4.80.8
2.73.5
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End1.0
blue by 1.0
9516
#35
5.80.9
6.65.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed