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Red71
71157.7
912836.3
83927.8
Blue39
92894.8
731223.7
59862.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54280204060801007139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.31.0
31.032.0
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
red by 12.6
23.70.1
21.521.7
Auto10.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Second
8392
#23
7.81.0
6.17.2
Auto1.8
Teleop4.3
End1.7
red by 3.0
9289
#30
4.80.1
4.14.2
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End1.0
Third
7115
#10
7.71.0
8.39.3
Auto5.6
Teleop1.1
End1.0
red by 4.9
5986
#33
2.80.1
2.62.7
Auto1.4
Teleop1.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed