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Red35
94195.0
664511.1
59237.3
Blue50
50701.9
526111.1
303514.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242310203040503550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6645
#11
11.10.1
7.57.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End1.0
blue by 3.8
3035
#15
14.90.9
11.011.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.1
Second
5923
#25
7.30.1
7.97.8
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End1.1
blue by 3.9
11.10.9
8.99.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End1.0
Third
9419
#28
5.00.1
5.85.7
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End0.6
red by 3.1
5070
#27
1.90.9
1.52.4
Auto0.2
Teleop2.0
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed