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Red45
837016.3
817717.6
59086.4
Blue16
42952.5
29506.5
769114.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462104060804516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.60.2
15.815.6
Auto8.9
Teleop7.7
End1.1
red by 3.3
7691
#13
14.40.7
12.812.1
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Second
8370
#12
16.30.2
15.715.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.1
End1.2
red by 9.7
2950
#17
6.50.7
5.34.6
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Third
5908
#24
6.40.2
7.06.8
Auto1.4
Teleop4.0
End1.0
red by 3.9
4295
#34
2.50.7
3.73.0
Auto1.2
Teleop0.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed