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Red94
589225.7
95165.8
912836.3
Blue28
887914.3
71157.7
74186.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions722504060801001209428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.31.2
32.033.2
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
red by 22.1
8879
#26
14.30.4
13.413.0
Auto6.7
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Second
25.71.2
22.623.8
Auto9.2
Teleop14.3
End2.2
red by 18.0
7115
#10
7.70.4
9.39.0
Auto5.6
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Third
9516
#35
5.81.2
4.85.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End0.9
blue by 0.9
7418
#19
6.70.4
5.65.3
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed