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Red34
542723.1
25859.3
90815.7
Blue59
664511.1
881910.9
731223.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364502060803459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.0
22.122.1
Auto9.4
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 0.6
23.71.0
21.722.6
Auto10.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Second
2585
#16
9.30.0
6.66.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.1
End2.6
blue by 1.8
6645
#11
11.11.0
7.48.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Third
9081
#29
5.70.0
5.25.2
Auto1.0
Teleop4.4
End0.3
blue by 5.2
8819
#14
10.91.0
10.511.5
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed