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Red49
50701.9
32424.6
94195.0
Blue24
769114.4
59237.3
258711.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343315202530404550554924

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#5
24.60.3
21.922.1
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End1.0
red by 10.2
7691
#13
14.41.1
12.111.0
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Second
9419
#28
5.00.4
5.76.1
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End0.6
blue by 6.7
2587
#18
11.71.1
10.59.4
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End1.6
Third
5070
#27
1.90.3
2.42.7
Auto0.2
Teleop2.0
End-0.3
blue by 5.3
5923
#25
7.31.1
7.86.7
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed