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Red18
83927.8
92894.8
526111.1
Blue85
23127.4
11838.4
837016.3
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121000204060801201401601885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.10.5
9.89.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End1.0
blue by 27.2
118
#2
38.40.0
38.938.9
Auto17.8
Teleop16.4
End4.1
Second
8392
#23
7.80.5
7.26.6
Auto1.8
Teleop4.3
End1.7
blue by 19.7
231
#1
27.40.0
25.525.6
Auto7.9
Teleop15.4
End4.1
Third
9289
#30
4.80.5
4.23.7
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End1.0
blue by 11.5
8370
#12
16.30.0
15.515.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned