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Red33
25859.3
42952.5
83927.8
Blue26
95165.8
87507.4
92894.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1718051015202530353326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2585
#16
9.30.8
7.38.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.1
End2.6
red by 1.9
8750
#31
7.40.7
6.26.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End1.2
Second
8392
#23
7.80.8
6.47.2
Auto1.8
Teleop4.3
End1.7
red by 2.0
9516
#35
5.80.7
5.96.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End0.9
Third
4295
#34
2.50.8
2.12.9
Auto1.2
Teleop0.2
End1.2
blue by 2.3
9289
#30
4.80.7
3.74.4
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed