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Red41
59086.4
303514.9
664511.1
Blue86
29506.5
912836.3
32424.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257304060801001204186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3035
#15
14.90.8
13.314.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.1
blue by 21.4
36.31.7
33.835.5
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
Second
6645
#11
11.10.8
9.310.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End1.0
blue by 13.4
324
#5
24.61.7
22.223.9
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End1.0
Third
5908
#24
6.40.8
6.06.8
Auto1.4
Teleop4.0
End1.0
blue by 0.1
2950
#17
6.51.7
4.66.3
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed