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Red26
258711.7
59862.8
505210.1
Blue26
90815.7
887914.3
50701.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23242122232425262626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#18
11.7
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End1.6
blue by 2.5
8879
#26
14.3
Auto6.7
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Second
5052
#22
10.1
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End0.9
red by 4.4
9081
#29
5.7
Auto1.0
Teleop4.4
End0.3
Third
5986
#33
2.8
Auto1.4
Teleop1.1
End0.4
red by 0.9
5070
#27
1.9
Auto0.2
Teleop2.0
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed