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Red27
258711.7
71157.7
881910.9
Blue64
769114.4
817717.6
74186.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334202060801002764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#18
11.70.2
11.911.7
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End1.6
blue by 5.9
17.60.3
17.217.4
Auto8.9
Teleop7.7
End1.1
Second
8819
#14
10.90.2
11.110.9
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
blue by 3.4
7691
#13
14.40.3
13.914.2
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Third
7115
#10
7.70.2
7.97.7
Auto5.6
Teleop1.1
End1.0
red by 1.0
7418
#19
6.70.3
6.26.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End0.9