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Red113
88187.2
912836.3
23127.4
Blue68
303514.9
887914.3
731223.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8252020406010012014016011368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.4
36.436.8
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End2.7
red by 12.6
23.70.4
23.023.4
Auto10.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Second
231
#1
27.40.4
27.527.9
Auto7.9
Teleop15.4
End4.1
red by 12.5
3035
#15
14.90.4
14.214.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.1
Third
8818
#20
7.20.4
6.87.2
Auto1.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 7.1
8879
#26
14.30.4
13.513.9
Auto6.7
Teleop6.1
End1.4