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Red116
300549.2
11841.4
147735.3
Blue56
913627.2
859812.6
464123.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13954010015020011656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.20.3
43.743.4
Auto15.5
Teleop29.7
End4.1
red by 22.0
9136
#10
27.20.2
23.223.0
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End2.4
Second
118
#2
41.40.3
37.837.5
Auto15.3
Teleop19.4
End6.7
red by 18.1
4641
#31
23.30.2
20.520.3
Auto10.1
Teleop12.0
End1.3
Third
35.30.3
34.033.7
Auto15.2
Teleop15.6
End4.5
red by 22.6
8598
#36
12.60.2
15.215.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed