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Red65
731232.2
541126.5
510310.2
Blue79
21589.3
41822.4
912844.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62712040801001206579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.3
24.424.7
Auto11.3
Teleop17.7
End3.2
blue by 11.9
44.00.7
36.437.1
Auto15.6
Teleop25.5
End3.0
Second
5411
#29
26.50.3
18.719.0
Auto8.5
Teleop17.2
End0.9
red by 4.2
418
#18
22.40.7
18.218.9
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End0.7
Third
5103
#41
10.20.3
14.014.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End1.0
red by 0.9
2158
#40
9.30.7
8.99.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed