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Red44
373522.7
949215.1
837017.4
Blue50
174519.5
550317.0
94077.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions612702040801001204450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#30
22.70.5
22.121.6
Auto8.8
Teleop12.1
End1.9
red by 3.3
1745
#13
19.51.0
12.613.6
Auto6.3
Teleop12.2
End1.0
Second
8370
#28
17.40.5
17.917.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.4
End1.1
red by 0.4
5503
#37
17.01.0
11.812.7
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End2.3
Third
9492
#32
15.10.5
11.310.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End1.8
red by 7.9
9407
#38
7.21.0
4.25.1
Auto1.9
Teleop4.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed