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Red100
637726.3
23128.9
975232.1
Blue59
750314.5
850710.5
367633.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9844020608012014016010059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9752
#20
32.11.2
30.531.7
Auto11.9
Teleop18.5
End1.7
blue by 1.6
33.60.9
25.826.7
Auto15.7
Teleop15.4
End2.6
Second
231
#11
28.91.2
27.528.7
Auto7.1
Teleop17.5
End4.4
red by 14.5
7503
#35
14.50.9
9.810.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End2.0
Third
6377
#12
26.31.2
24.425.6
Auto6.8
Teleop18.0
End1.5
red by 15.8
8507
#34
10.50.9
10.311.1
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned28%Ensemble oddsEarned