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Red78
912844.0
582920.2
373522.7
Blue68
837017.4
731232.2
258318.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8362020401001201401607868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.3
37.136.8
Auto15.6
Teleop25.5
End3.0
red by 11.9
32.20.3
24.725.0
Auto11.3
Teleop17.7
End3.2
Second
3735
#30
22.70.3
21.621.3
Auto8.8
Teleop12.1
End1.9
red by 4.1
2583
#19
18.60.3
16.416.7
Auto7.9
Teleop8.3
End2.4
Third
5829
#22
20.20.3
13.713.4
Auto7.7
Teleop11.7
End0.8
red by 2.7
8370
#28
17.40.3
17.417.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed