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Red72
23128.9
94077.2
11841.4
Blue79
667238.7
975232.1
463923.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510340601201401607279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
41.40.0
37.537.5
Auto15.3
Teleop19.4
End6.7
red by 2.8
38.70.7
36.836.1
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End2.8
Second
231
#11
28.90.0
28.728.8
Auto7.1
Teleop17.5
End4.4
blue by 3.1
9752
#20
32.10.7
31.731.0
Auto11.9
Teleop18.5
End1.7
Third
9407
#38
7.20.0
5.15.2
Auto1.9
Teleop4.9
End0.4
blue by 16.7
23.90.7
21.420.7
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsEarned31%Ensemble oddsMissed